Betting Odds & Predictions: Aces vs Sky | WNBA Playoffs Game 1

Kahleah Copper scores 17 points in third quarter to lead Sky in win over Liberty

The 2023 WNBA Playoffs first-round starts tonight. The Las Vegas Aces will match up against the Chicago Sky at home. Here, you will find the WNBA betting odds, stats, trends, player prop bets, and predictions for Wednesday, September 13.

Tonight is Game 1 of the first-round WNBA playoffs between the Las Vegas Aces (34-6, 19-1 Home) and the Chicago Sky (18-22, 11-9 Away). The first of three games, Las Vegas, the reigning 2022 WNBA Champions, will look to defend their title.

In their fifth straight playoff appearance, Las Vegas Aces have won four of their last five games. The Chicago Sky led by Kahleah Copper, squeezed in as the 8th and final playoff seed. WNBA champions in 2021 and 26-10 in 2022, the Sky lost key players in the offseason, and will look to make a playoff run.

In the final games of the regular season, the Sky won four of their last five games, including a victory over the Connecticut Sun.

 In this article, I will break down the WNBA betting odds, statistics, trends, odds, player prop bets, and predictions. The matchup will begin at 10 p.m. ET, at T-Mobile Arena, located in Las Vegas, Nevada. 

If you’re Betting on the WNBA and interested in watching, the game will air on ESPN.  For the best betting odds, stats and analysis, here is information to know.

WNBA Game 1 Odds: Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Chicago Sky +16.5 (-108)

The Chicago Sky were the second-best team in 2022 and lost in the semi-finals against the Connecticut Sun. The Reigning 2021 WNBA Champions will make their fifth straight playoff appearance, all while under interim head coach, Emre Vatansever.

Former head coach James Wade departing for the NBA in early July gave interim coach Emre Vatansever little time to develop chemistry with the team. Since Vatansever’s arrival with Chicago, he led Sky to a 11-13 record and managed to help turn their season around in August.

Fighting for the 8th seed with the Los Angeles Sparks, the Sky won five of their last seven games down the stretch, including victories over Connecticut and Minnesota. With determination, Chicago was able to obtain the eighth and final playoff spot. Their record against the spread in the regular season was 22-16-2.

Matchup against the Aces

The Aces are 3-0 against the Sky in three regular matchups. However, Chicago covered all spreads, some of which were large. In three games, the Sky averaged 87.3 points per game, 31.3 rebounds, 21.7 assists, 4.7 steals, and 1.7 blocks. Chicago, third in three-point shooting, managed to shoot an incredible 40 percent from the three, and 45 percent from the field.

Given Las Vegas is the most efficient team on both ends of the floor, the Sky managed to keep up in most games. Last matchup against the Aces, the Sky had three players in double-figures, Kahleah Copper, Elizabeth Williams, and Marina Mabrey.

Alanna Smith, questionable for tonight’s game, averaged 7.3 points and rebounds in four games against the Aces. If she’s in the lineup, I like the +16.5, with help on the boards for the frontcourt.

The Chicago Sky look to stay hot, after winning three straight games and covering the spread in seven of the last eight. Out of 22 games, the Sky covered in nine against teams that are .500 and above. With both teams coming off three days of rest, I expect Las Vegas to outright win the Money Line tonight.

I do expect the Sky to keep up, especially with a three-guard lineup, and given the fact are scoring 85 points in the last ten games. The Aces had a slight regression post-All-Star break, losing four of their six losses since the beginning of August. To me, +16.5 is a large, spread, especially for a playoff game, and a Sky team that has covered in all of their meetings.

Chelsea Gray over 23.5 Points and Assists (PrizePicks)

PPG: 15.3 | FG: 49 % | 3 PT: 42.1 % | FT: 89.7 % | REB: 4 | AST: 7.3 | STL: 1.4 | BLK: 0.6

Chelsea Gray, guard for the Las Vegas Aces is one of the most prolific playmakers in the WNBA. Nicknamed the “Point Gawd,” No. 12 is averaging career-highs in points, rebounds, assists, and blocks per game. The guard shot over 42 percent from the three this season, which ranks 7th in the league.

Part of a dynamic backcourt, Gray, has plenty of passing options, including Aja Wilson, Kelsey Plum, and Jackie Young. Throughout 40 games in 2023, the guard averaged 15.3 points, and 7.3 assists a game. Her total of 291 assists ranks third in the league, behind Courtney Vandersloot and Alyssa Thomas. With 610 points scored, Gray ranks 19th, which is incredible for a team that’s stacked with four All-Stars.

Hitting 41 percent of the time this season, this prop has hit 60 percent of the last five and ten games for Gray. She’s hit over 23.5 points and assists in two of the three matchups against Chicago in the regular season.

In the Aces’ previous matchup with the Sky, Gray finished with a double-double, 19 points, and 10 assists. On July 25, game two, the guard finished with 22 points and 9 assists. In three matchups with the Sky, Chelsea Gray averaged 32.8 minutes, 20 points, and 7 assists. In those matchups, No. 12 averaged 11.7 field goal attempts and 2.3 three-point attempts per game.

Why this prop will hit

Coming off three days of rest, Gray averages 14 points and 6.8 assists. Though a small sample size of two games, she performs her best with two games of rest or less. When it comes to prop bets in the playoffs, I specifically target players who excel in multiple areas of the court. For Gray, she is a scorer and reads the court with a high IQ. Whether she takes it to the basket or knocks down a three, Chelsea Gray is a threat from anywhere on the court.

She will matchup against the Chicago Sky, who allow the second most assists per game (20.8), next to the Seattle Storm. If she gets the matchup with Marina Mabrey, Mabrey ranks 110 in defensive rating (103.5) and has a net rating of -0.8. Guards Kahleah Copper and Courtney Williams both rank near the bottom in terms of defensive ratings.

Overall, Chelsey Gray is 8th in offensive rating (112.5), and third in assist percentage (33.7). With only one loss at home, Gray has plenty of options to distribute the ball to and has the ability to score when A’ja Wilson is clamped.

Season Statistics & Betting Trends

Las Vegas Aces

  • LV Aces: 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • 7-3 in their last 10 games.
  • ATS Record: 21-19-0
  • O/U Record: 24-16-0
  • 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • O/U is 3-2 in the last 5 games.
  • O/U: 3-7 in the last 10 games.
  • 1st in Offensive Rating (113)
  • 1st in Defensive Rating (97.7)
  • 1st in Points Per Game (92.8)
  • 2nd in Pace: 98.58
  • Opponent Points Per Game: 80.3 (2nd)
  • Three-Point Percentage: 37.2 % (2nd)
  • Rebounds Per Game: 34.8 (5th)
  • LV ATS won last 10 games: New York (-7.5), Seattle (-20), Phoenix (-19)

Chicago Sky

  • Chicago Sky: 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • ATS Record: 22-16-0
  • O/U Record: 19-21-0
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • O/U is 2-3 in the last 5 games.
  • O/U: 5-5 in the last 10 games.
  • 6th in Offensive Rating (101.3)
  • 7th in Defensive Rating (103.4)
  • 6th in Points Per Game (81.7)
  • 8th in Pace: 96.18
  • Opponent Points Per Game: 83.4 (6th)
  • Three-Point Percentage: 37.2 (3rd)
  • Rebounds Per Game: 33.3 (9th)
  • Chicago: ATS won last 10 games: Seattle (-4.5, -1), Las Vegas (+14.5), LA (+5), Indiana (+1), Minnesota (-4), Connecticut (+9.5)

Head-to-head stats: Aces vs. Sky

Season Matchups:

Game 1: Las Vegas 93, Chicago 80 (Chicago +13.5, over 168)

Game 2: Las Vegas 107, Chicago 95 (Chicago +14.5, over 168)

Game 3: Las Vegas 94, Chicago 87 (Chicago +14.5, over 171.5)

  • Las Vegas won the series 3-0
  • The Sky are 3-0 ATS vs. the Aces this season.
  • Game Points (AVG) last 10 matchups: 176
  • Las Vegas average points last 10 games: 89
  • Chicago average points last 10 games: 85

  1. WNBA Womens Sports

    Angel Reese Sets WNBA Double-Double Record

    **Angel Reese, selected seventh overall by the Chicago Sky in the 2024 WNBA Draft, stands out as the lone rookie averaging a double-double this season.**

    For those who questioned Angel Reese’s fit in the WNBA, her performance has silenced skeptics and affirmed her status as a rising star in the league. Today, she made history that underscores her potential to become one of basketball’s all-time greats. Beyond her dominance on the court, Reese is also turning heads with her fashion sense, undeniable charisma, and unwavering self-assurance, which translate beautifully into her gameplay.

    In the Chicago Sky’s camp day victory, a score of 83-72 against the Dallas Wings, Reese recorded a career-high 18 rebounds alongside 16 points. With two steals added to her stats, the player dubbed “Chi-Town Barbie” achieved a remarkable milestone, becoming the first rookie ever in WNBA history to notch seven consecutive double-doubles. Eight of her rebounds were on the offensive glass, contributing to Chicago’s impressive 48-22 advantage in points scored in the paint. Just a week prior, she had set a new personal best with 20 points against the Connecticut Sun, finishing this latest game at a +17 efficiency while shooting 7-for-13 overall.

    Although the Dallas Wings faced injury challenges, their head coach, Latricia Tramell, opted for a larger lineup. With Natasha Howard returning under a minutes restriction, Reese took full advantage of the matchup, showcasing her talent against formidable opponents like Howard, Monique Billings, Teaira McCowan, Morgan Bertsch, and Stephanie Soares—none of whom are shorter than 6 foot 2. Her extraordinary performance is a testament to her skill set, particularly against a Dallas team that ranks second in the league for points scored in the paint. Winning in the WNBA is no small feat, particularly when competing against players towering 6 foot 5 and taller.

    In a post-game interview, Reese revealed that she had studied extensive film on Dallas, emphasizing her willingness to do the hard work for her teammates. “I’ll step in, I’ll mess up my nails, lashes, and stuff like that, just for my teammates,” Reese shared in a social media post from the Chicago Sky. She embodies the qualities every franchise covets in a cornerstone player: heart, grit, and hustle.

    Reese’s impressive statistics now place her among the legendary figures who paved the way for women’s basketball, such as Sylvia Fowles, Elena Delle Donne, and Candace Parker. With ambitions to surpass Fowles’s season offensive rebounding record, Reese is already third in the league in rebounds, leading all rookies with a total of 68 offensive boards, outpacing elite players such as A’ja Wilson, Napheesa Collier, and Alyssa Thomas.

    During the broadcast, Reese emphasized her close relationship with Fowles, reiterating her commitment to victory. “I just want to do whatever it takes to win, and rebounding is what I do to win,” Reese expressed following the game.

    With her seventh consecutive double-double, Reese is having a historic rookie season and is on track to break Fowles’s records as she continues to excel at just 22 years old. At halftime, she had already secured 11 rebounds and eclipsed previous records held by Cindy Brown and Tina Charles. Currently, she boasts averages of 12.4 points and 10.8 rebounds per game, making her the only rookie to reach double figures this season. Following the unfortunate injury to Cameron Brink, Reese has distinguished herself in her rookie class.

    The Sky entered this game on a rough stretch, having lost four consecutive outings against the Dream, Sun, Mystics, and Fever. However, Reese and her teammates delivered an electrifying performance at Chicago’s annual Camp Day, where many young fans experience their first WNBA game. Engaging with thousands of children in the crowd, Reese expressed her joy in clinching a victory. “Man, I’m just happy we finally won,” she told ESPN. “I’m excited to be in this league, and win some more.”

    Currently second overall in points behind Caitlin Clark, Reese leads all rookies in rebounds per game, free-throw attempts and makes, field goals attempted and made, and steals. Her accomplishments make a strong case for the 2024 WNBA Rookie of the Year Award.

    While other players also earn attention, it’s essential not to overlook Reese, a bona fide national champion and standout during her four years at LSU under the guidance of coach Kim Mulkey. Drafted alongside fellow Gamecock legend Kamilla Cardoso, there were questions about how the two would fit into Teresa Weatherspoon’s front court. Despite some media controversies, Reese consistently puts up impressive numbers.

    Standing at 6 foot 3, Reese has recorded double-doubles against notable teams like the Fever, Mystics, Sun, Dream, and Liberty. Out of those seven games, three teams rank among the top five in rebounding. Today, she exhibited relentless aggression, creating numerous second-chance opportunities. Developing her mid-range and outside shooting game would elevate her to a true triple threat.

    Eager to continue improving, Reese is a legitimate contender for Rookie of the Year, thriving by consistently making winning plays.

    With a season record of 5-9, Reese and the Chicago Sky look ahead to their next challenge against the Indiana Fever at home this Sunday evening.

    Continue Reading
  2. WNBA Womens Sports

    Introducing the 2024 US Women’s 3×3 Olympics Team: Brink, Burdick, Howard, Van Lith

    Introducing the USA Basketball 3x3 Women's National Team

    Introducing the USA Basketball 3x3 Women's National Team

    The American Basketball organization has announced the starting lineup for the 2024 Women’s National 3×3 squad.

    Featuring the talented Cameron Brink as a standout, the team will also boast the skills of Rhyne Howard, Hailey Van Lith, and Cierra Burdick. Chosen by a selection panel, the Olympic Games are set to be held in Paris, showcasing what promises to be an exceedingly powerful, adaptable, and all-rounded team.

    Just a year prior, Brink, Van Lith, and Burdick guided the USA team to victory at the 2023 FIBA 3×3 World Cup, securing the gold medal. With a mix of experienced and emerging talents, team cohesion is expected to be even stronger. Van Lith and Burdick, in particular, have been playing alongside each other since the 2022 World Cup.

    The announcement of the players selected for the team was met with profound emotional displays across various social media platforms.

    At 22, Brink, who was the Los Angeles Sparks’ second pick in the 2024 WNBA Draft, has consistently performed during her freshman season. With Stanford as her alma mater, Brink’s averages include 8.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, 2.1 assists, and 1.1 steals per game. Renowned for her defensive capabilities, her professional performance has lived up to expectations.

    Ranking second in the WNBA for total blocks (21) and leading new recruits in that domain, Brink also stands third among her rookie peers for rebounds. As a highly regarded defensive anchor in the league, she excels in defensive boards per contest. With an average of 2.6 blocks per outing, her defensive acumen will be pivotal in the 3×3 format.

    After achieving a personal best of 21 points in a recent game against the Fever, the Stanford graduate was honored as the MVP of the 2023 3×3 FIBA World Cup, having steered her team to the top podium. She also played in the 2018 FIBA U17 and 2019 U19 Women’s World Cup teams.

    Expanding her team’s offensive options, Brink offers spacing on the floor and can both shoot from the distance and engage in post-up moves. A crucial element will be her prowess in seizing the offensive rebounds.

    Introduced at the Tokyo Games in 2021, the 3×3 basketball format promises a riveting yet demanding style of play. Rizzotti and the team are gearing up for their inaugural run in Paris, with the events slated to commence at the twilight of July, stretching into early August.

    Continue Reading
  3. WNBA Womens Sports

    WNBA Players of the Week: A’ja Wilson and Sabrina Ionescu

    Week 3 Western Conference Player of the Week: A'ja Wilson

    Week 3 Western Conference Player of the Week: A'ja Wilson

    MVP Periodt and the Sovereign of Brooklyn are dominating WNBA news.

    A’ja Wilson from the Las Vegas Aces and Sabrina Ionescu of the New York Liberty have undeniably made an impression, influencing the game within and outside the bounds of the court. Formerly competitors in the 2023 WNBA Finals, they have now claimed the titles of Eastern and Western Conference players of the week.

    Ionescu is partnered with Nike and recently unwrapped the Sabrina 2s just last month. Around this coinciding period, Wilson disclosed her inaugural shoe, the Nike A’One, slated for a 2025 launch. Wilson now stands alongside Ionescu as one of the trio of active WNBA athletes boasting their own exclusive footwear lines.

    Not even a full two months into the current season and Wilson as well as Ionescu are exerting considerable influence on their respective squads’ performances.

    Despite Wilson’s impressive credentials as a two-time WNBA Champion, MVP, and Defensive Player of the Year, she hasn’t overlooked that one time she was ranked fourth by an MVP voter. And with reason, she perpetuates her response to the skeptics with stellar displays on the basketball court.

    A’ja Wilson is once again performing at an MVP level

    Off to a blistering start, the Aces star added eight blocks and three steals in both matchups against the Atlanta Dream and Minnesota Lynx.

    4-2 on the season, Becky Hammon and the Aces suffered a rare 78-74 against the Dream on the road. However, how can we forget Wilson’s unforgettable block on good friend Allisha Gray? It may not have traveled into the concession stand but was a statement block.

    On pace for another historical season, Wilson started off the season with five straight double-doubles, owning the longest streak of 20+ points and 10+ rebounds in WNBA history. The league leader in blocks with 12.4, Wilson boasted 29 points, 15 rebounds, three assists, two steals, and four blocks against the Lynx. And a few days later, she put up 28 points, three assists, one steal, and four blocks against the Dream. Over the two games, Wilson shot 46.1 percent from the field.

    Earning the weekly award for the 17th time in her career, Wilson has elevated her game significantly. Through six games into the 2024 season, the Aces star is averaging career-highs in points (26.5), rebounds (12.5), and blocks (2.8). Leading the league in player-estimated impact, Wilson is already poised as one of the all-time greats ever to grace the game.

    Sabrina Ionescu’s game has evolved beyond the three-point shot

    Nearly 21 percent (31) of Ionescu’s 146 field goal attempts have been delivered as driving layups and floating bank shots. Compare this to last year, where she only attempted 17 floater shots. More confident than ever, the California native averages the most points since her rookie season, with 17.9 points per game. Given she only played three games in her first season, it’s a testament to the dedication, growth, and evolution of her game.

    Ionescu started off the week with a game-high 22 points, six rebounds, and nine assists against the Phoenix Mercury at home. According to Liberty PR,  Ionescu became the first player in franchise history to record double-digit points with at least five assists in a single quarter (10 points and five assists).

    Just a few days later, No. 20 poured in 24 points, one rebound, three assists, on 50 percent three-point shooting against Washington at the Barclays. To end the week, the former Oregon star put up 16 points, six rebounds, and six assists in front of 17,000+ fans against the Indiana Fever.

    The Las Vegas Aces (4-2) are set to match up against the Dallas Wings, Seattle Storm, and Los Angeles Sparks this week. The New York Liberty defeated the Chicago Sky 88-75 on Tuesday night, and will matchup with Atlanta, Connecticut, and Washington later this week.

    Continue Reading