3 Favorites & 3 Outsiders to Bet On Before Selection Sunday

Three out of four teams on the NCAA Tournament top line seem set as of Saturday morning: Houston, Purdue and defending champion UConn.

That’s with the caveat, of course, that these schools complete their run to their respective conference tournament titles.

Tennessee’s awful start Friday — and subsequent double-digit loss — against Mississippi State likely kicked the Volunteers to a 2-seed, opening the door for North Carolina to position itself among the No. 1 group.

Arizona fumbled its chance in Las Vegas Friday night, falling to Oregon in a Pac-12 tournament semifinal and likely is destined for a seed no better than No. 2.

When the NCAA Tournament arrives next week, Houston will be a deserving favorite, and difficult to bet against, but value lies in a few blue bloods and outsiders.

The Favorites

As of Saturday morning, the futures odds for the NCAA Tournament title looked like this at DraftKings:

UConn +450

Houston +500

Purdue +750

North Carolina +1300

Tennessee +1600

Arizona +1600

Auburn +2000

Marquette +2200

Kentucky +2200

Iowa State +2200

We have three options for the best “favorites” to back.

The leading investment opportunity could very well be Houston. Even at Scottie Scheffler-in-a-major odds of +500, we believe this carries value.

The standard tourney angle — defense and guards — puts Houston head and shoulders above the top several teams, and coach Kelvin Sampson won’t be satisfied with a performance until his players are cutting down the nets on April 8 in Glendale, Ariz.

Texas Tech shot its way into relevance — but that came in the first half, after which the Cougars led only 32-29 in the semifinal round of the Big 12 Tournament.

Houston turned it up, and, with guards Jamal Shead (12 points, 10 assists, stifling defense) and LJ Cryer (20 points including six 3-pointers) doing their thing, dispatched the Red Raiders with very little respect, 82-59. Texas Tech finished with 15 made field goals on 45 attempts.

A long shot, if you will, among the top 10 to 12 teams is the Volunteers, whose odds might become even longer as Selection Sunday dawns.

Think about the postgame discussion in that locker room after losing 73-56 to Mississippi State in one Southeastern Conference tournament quarterfinal. The Volunteers should be ready to go from the opening whistle the next time they hit the court.

The Vols are the fifth choice among several bookmakers as of Saturday morning, including DraftKings (+1600).

It’s likely those odds could shrink after the brackets are announced because Tennessee should be the strongest of all the No. 2 seeds and, theoretically, placed in a region with the weakest of the No. 1 seeds.

The Volunteers, at that price, are a “buy” to win it all, and worth a close look to emerge from their region unscathed.

Iowa State is a poor man’s Houston, with great momentum and a suffocating defense. The Cyclones pasted Baylor 76-62 in the other Big 12 semifinal, holding the Bears to 39 percent shooting Friday, including 5-for-24 from beyond the arc.

Iowa State is on a roll, already grabbing a No. 2 seed, per several experts’ calculations. A Big 12 tournament title — the Cyclones face Houston Saturday — coupled with a North Carolina loss to North Carolina State in the Atlantic Coast Conference tourney final might push them to the top line as a No. 1 seed.

The Outsiders

Florida is no longer a secret, rolling to another SEC tournament victory Friday and seeing its win-the-NCAA-Tournament odds shrink to +5000.

Not enough long-shot value left here. Good team, though, and we wouldn’t blame you for getting behind the Gators at that number.

How about a live long shot?

For a team that reached the NCAA Tournament’s final game last season and is sitting among ESPN’s bracketology leaders at a 5-seed as of Saturday, San Diego State sure isn’t drawing much respect from the books.

The Aztecs knocked out a ranked Utah State team with another big effort from leader Jaedon LeDee, whose 22 points was an average day’s work (he scores 21.0 points per game) and helped San Diego State to 50 second-half points in winning a Mountain West tournament semifinal, 86-70.

This feels like a 40-minutes-of-hell group to face in the postseason, and at +8000, should find a slice of your “long-shot bets” budget.

Did we mention Mississippi State? Yeah, the Bulldogs took apart Tennessee and take on Auburn on Saturday, with the winner heading to the SEC tournament title game.

Already slotted as a No. 8 or 9 seed, Mississippi State would enter the NCAA Tournament as one of those, “Oh boy, you don’t wanna play them right now” teams.

And at a price of +10000, well, who wouldn’t want to turn $10 into $1,000?

The guys doing the incessant pregame, halftime and postgame talking call it “madness,” so, why bet against the spectacular happening?

  1. College Sports News

    WCC to Add Grand Canyon and Seattle in 2025

    WCC adding Seattle U and Grand Canyon University

    WCC adding Seattle U and Grand Canyon University

    Seattle and Grand Canyon will be leaving the Western Athletic Conference and moving to the West Coast Conference starting July 2025.

    The nine current members of the conference are private universities with a religious affiliation. Seattle is a Jesuit institution, while Grand Canyon, situated in Phoenix, is a Christian college.

    Grand Canyon’s basketball achievements were a significant factor in attracting WCC commissioner Stu Jackson. The team has participated in the last two NCAA Tournaments and three of the previous four under the leadership of coach Bryce Drew.

    As the 12th-seeded Antelopes defeated fifth-seeded Saint Mary’s before losing to Alabama in the tournament this season.

    Saint Mary’s is currently a member of the West Coast Conference.

    The WCC, while also integrating Oregon State and Washington State this autumn (excluding football), will expand from 11 to 13 members by the 2025-26 season.

    The future beyond 2026 looks uncertain, with Oregon State and Washington State appearing unlikely to continue with the WCC.

    The former Pac-12 schools are under a two-year contract, expiring on June 30, 2026. Sources from CBS Sports suggest that the odds of the two Pacific Northwest institutions staying are slim, with a move to the Mountain West or a new conference formation being more probable.

    Following the departures of Sam Houston and New Mexico State last year, Seattle and Grand Canyon’s exit from the WAC will reduce the conference’s membership to just eight by July 2025.

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    Ex-Cal State Fullerton G Max Jones Commits to Kansas State

    Kansas State adds athletic wing in left-handed shooter Max Jones

    Kansas State adds athletic wing in left-handed shooter Max Jones

    Former guard of Cal State Fullerton Max Jones has made a decision to join Kansas State for his upcoming collegiate season, according to reports.

    Notable alternatives that Jones purportedly pondered were New Mexico, Texas A&M, Mississippi State, Florida Atlantic, and Loyola Chicago.

    During the previous season with the Titans, Jones maintained an average of 15.3 points and 3.0 rebounds across 24 games, in which he started 21. He secured the second-highest scoring position within the team, alongside being the second in 3-pointers with 42 baskets and 41 steals.

    In the season prior, Jones held an average of 12.5 points and 4.0 rebounds in 32 games, amassing 34 three-pointers and 30 steals.

    Before making his way to Cal State Fullerton post the 2021-22 season, Jones spent two years at Division II Tampa, where he managed to achieve an average of 21.9 points across 21 games during his sophomore year with the Spartans.

    In the recent offseason, Kansas State acquired Dug McDaniel, a former player from Michigan recognized as one of the premier point guards available in this year’s transfer portal.

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    Stanford Names Basketball Court in Honor of Tara VanDerveer

    View From The Top with Tara VanDerveer, Former Coach of Stanford Women’s Basketball

    View From The Top with Tara VanDerveer, Former Coach of Stanford Women’s Basketball

    Tara VanDerveer’s legacy at Stanford will now be visibly acknowledged, with the school revealing on Thursday that the basketball arena’s floor will bear the name of the esteemed Hall of Fame coach.

    At the age of 70, VanDerveer stepped down following her 38th season at the helm of the Cardinal.

    She steered Stanford to 14 Final Fours and secured three national championships (1990, 1992, 2021). VanDerveer embarked on her coaching journey at Idaho (1978-80) and later coached at Ohio State (1980-85).

    In January, she surpassed Mike Krzyzewski to clinch the title of the most successful college basketball coach in history, across both men’s and women’s teams. VanDerveer concluded with a remarkable 1,216-271 record, boasting a 1,064-220 tally with the Cardinal.

    Alongside the unveiling of the Tara VanDerveer Court at Maples Pavilion this November, Stanford also established an endowed position in women’s basketball for an assistant coach in VanDerveer’s honor.

    VanDerveer said in a statement, “This endowment will go a long way to strengthening the future of Stanford women’s basketball. I have many wonderful memories of leading the women’s basketball program at Maples Pavilion.”

    “It’s an honor, and a little surreal, to know that my name will be linked to both in these ways, and I look forward to celebrating with all our fans this fall.”

    Last month, Stanford appointed Kate Paye, one of VanDerveer’s longtime assistant coaches who played for the Cardinal from 1991-95 and began coaching under VanDerveer in 2007, as the new head coach.

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